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81.
A variety of mathematical expressions that describe changes over time (t) in the extent of amino acid racemisation (AAR, expressed as the ratio of d- to l-amino acid isomers or epimers) have been used in Quaternary geochronology. The integrated rate equation was first used to estimate fossil age from D/L but its geochronological utility is disadvantaged by uncertainties regarding the conformity of AAR in fossil protein to apparent reversible first-order kinetics for the entire reaction history. ‘Non-linear’ models have subsequently been used to relate D/L to t. The logarithmic equation successfully applied to Atlantic Coastal Plain research has not achieved widespread application, perhaps due to the regional calibration required if sensitivity to temperature is to be modelled, or the difficulties encountered when extending the model to include fossils with D/L<0.1. Success producing a linear correlation between D/L transformed with a power function and t has seen this approach emerge as one of the most commonly applied in AAR geochronology in recent years. Like parabola curve fitting, which has been applied to trends in D/L versus t in a variety of fossils and geographic settings, power transformations may not be suitable for geochronological modelling during the latter stages of amino acid diagenesis. Several studies have demonstrated the utility of simple and contingent linear equations for relating D/L to t. Future research should aim to reduce reliance on independent calibration and explore the geochronological benefits of AAR in pools other than the total hydrolysable amino acids.  相似文献   
82.
洛阳分县温度周滚动预报系统   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
利用洛阳9县(市)2002年11月~2004年9月逐日最高、最低气温资料,应用欧洲中心数值预报产品,建立了洛阳9个县(市)的温度周滚动预报方程。2004~2005年试报结果表明:24~48 h预报准确率在70%左右,绝对误差在2℃以内;24~144 h预报准确率在62%~70%之间,绝对误差在2℃左右;最低气温预报效果要好于最高气温,最低气温的绝对误差与准确率分别为1.98℃和67%,最高气温的绝对误差与准确率分别为2.28℃和61%。  相似文献   
83.
软土地区人工冻土无侧限瞬时抗压强度的试验研究   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
冻结法施工在上海隧道建设中(如隧道旁通道、地下泵房等的设计与施工)得到广泛应用,也曾引发过严重的地质灾害(如上海地铁4号线外滩段的地质灾害)。因此安全、经济、合理地将冻结法用于上海软土地区隧道建设中已经成为上海工程建设中的一个重要的研究课题。本文以上海复兴东路越江隧道旁通道冻结法施工中遇到的第⑥层粉质粘土及第⑦层粉细砂为研究对象,针对设计冻结壁重要强度参数无侧限瞬时抗压强度,进行了室内试验研究,揭示了两种土的冻结强度随温度的变化关系,同时研究了粉细砂的冻结强度随含水率的变化规律。  相似文献   
84.
21世纪初极端天气气候事件研究进展   总被引:22,自引:0,他引:22  
胡宜昌  董文杰  何勇 《地球科学进展》2007,22(10):1066-1075
由于极端天气气候事件的严重影响,越来越多的研究开始关注其变化情况。从观测分析到模拟研究,几乎都发现极端气温、降水事件发生了显著变化,而且在全球变暖的大背景下,未来有些极端事件可能会发生频数更高或强度更强。当然,研究结论也存在一定程度的不确定性,从模式模拟来看,目前模拟结果仍存在不确定性,不同模式的结果间常常存在较大的差异;而从观测分析来看,研究主要局限于20世纪后半叶,如果对更长时间作分析,结论或许会有所不同。文章从最基本的极端天气气候事件的定义出发,结合观测事实和模拟研究两个主要方面来介绍近几年来极端事件研究取得的主要进展,最后简单地总结了这些进展,并提出了进一步研究的思路。   相似文献   
85.
断层失稳错动热场前兆模式:雁列断层的实验研究   总被引:14,自引:4,他引:14       下载免费PDF全文
在实验室使用红外热像仪和接触式测温仪同步观测记录了压性和张性雁列断层失稳错动前后的热场变化过程.从实验记录中发现,在断层失稳引起温度场和热红外辐射亮温温度场上升之前,在两断层段之间的岩桥区发生降温变化.断层带开始升温发生在失稳前2~3 s内,岩桥区的降温却发生在失稳前约20s,这两个超前时间长度相差近一个量级.此类热场先降后升变化过程在雁列构造变形中有一定的普遍性,可能作为雁列断层失稳错动的热场前兆模式.根据实验观测结果,详细描述了上述热场变化的时间过程及其空间分布特征,分析了产生此种失稳前兆模式的机制,显著异常出现的条件及有利观测部位,讨论了它在地震前兆探索等研究中的意义.  相似文献   
86.
The present paper describes the analysis and modeling of the South China Sea (SCS) temperature cycle on a seasonal scale. It investigates the possibility to model this cycle in a consistent way while not taking into account tidal forcing and associated tidal mixing and exchange. This is motivated by the possibility to significantly increase the model’s computational efficiency when neglecting tides. The goal is to develop a flexible and efficient tool for seasonal scenario analysis and to generate transport boundary forcing for local models. Given the significant spatial extent of the SCS basin and the focus on seasonal time scales, synoptic remote sensing is an ideal tool in this analysis. Remote sensing is used to assess the seasonal temperature cycle to identify the relevant driving forces and is a valuable source of input data for modeling. Model simulations are performed using a three-dimensional baroclinic-reduced depth model, driven by monthly mean sea surface anomaly boundary forcing, monthly mean lateral temperature, and salinity forcing obtained from the World Ocean Atlas 2001 climatology, six hourly meteorological forcing from the European Center for Medium range Weather Forecasting ERA-40 dataset, and remotely sensed sea surface temperature (SST) data. A sensitivity analysis of model forcing and coefficients is performed. The model results are quantitatively assessed against climatological temperature profiles using a goodness-of-fit norm. In the deep regions, the model results are in good agreement with this validation data. In the shallow regions, discrepancies are found. To improve the agreement there, we apply a SST nudging method at the free water surface. This considerably improves the model’s vertical temperature representation in the shallow regions. Based on the model validation against climatological in situ and SST data, we conclude that the seasonal temperature cycle for the deep SCS basin can be represented to a good degree. For shallow regions, the absence of tidal mixing and exchange has a clear impact on the model’s temperature representation. This effect on the large-scale temperature cycle can be compensated to a good degree by SST nudging for diagnostic applications.  相似文献   
87.
青藏高原平流层臭氧和气溶胶的变化趋势研究   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2  
通过分析SAGEⅡ资料,发现青藏高原平流层臭氧存在递减趋势,15—50 km臭氧的变化对臭氧总量变化贡献最大,其中25—50 km和15—25 km两层的贡献大致相当。通过青藏高原和中国东部地区平流层臭氧变化的对比,清楚地看出:两地臭氧总量变化的差异主要是由于在15—25 km臭氧变化不同所致。5—7月臭氧变化趋势的情况与年平均的变化类似,两地臭氧变化的差异主要在平流层低层,即15—25 km。青藏高原平流层气溶胶面密度的时间变化序列显示:大的火山喷发对青藏高原平流层气溶胶具有重要影响,其影响可持续6年左右。从1997年至今,青藏高原18—25 km气溶胶面密度增加,最大的增长出现在23 km,每年大约增长4%—5%。而在16—17 km气溶胶的面密度出现减少趋势。与此同时,在37 km以下,青藏高原的温度出现递减的趋势,而且其递减速度比中国东部地区快;在37—50 km,温度出现增加的趋势,青藏高原的增温也比中国东部地区快。青藏高原平流层低层气溶胶的增加和温度的降低都将增强该区域非均相反应的作用。  相似文献   
88.
山东省近40a来的气温和降水变化趋势分析   总被引:19,自引:5,他引:19  
本文利用非参数检验法(Mann-Kendall法)分析了山东省15个站点近40 a(1958—1998)来气温和降水的长期变化趋势。结果表明:全省气温除西南的莘县、兖州有下降趋势外,大部分地区呈现上升趋势,全省平均上升0.06℃/10a。分季情况为:春季和冬季气温有上升趋势,其中冬季气温上升对全省气温上升的贡献率最大。夏季气温基本保持不变,秋季气温有下降趋势。全省除济南降水量呈略微上升趋势外,其余地区的降水倾向率均为负值,全省的降水倾向率为-3.05 mm/a。表明山东省自1960年以来,年均降水量呈现减少趋势。减少幅度东南部大于西北部,以东南沿海平均减少幅度最大。  相似文献   
89.
The transfer processes within and above a simulated urban street canyon were investigated in a generic manner. Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) was used to aid understanding and to produce some simple operational parameterisations. In this study we addressed specifically the commonly met situation where buoyancy effects arising from elevated surface temperatures are not important, i.e. when mechanical forces outweigh buoyancy forces. In a geophysical context this requires that some suitably defined Richardson number is small. From an engineering perspective this is interpreted as the important case when heat transfer within and above urban street canyons is by forced convection. Surprisingly, this particular scenario (for which the heat transfer coefficient between buildings and the flow is largest), has been less well studied than the situation where buoyancy effects are important. The CFD technique was compared against wind-tunnel experiments to provide model evaluation. The height-to-width ratio of the canyon was varied through the range 0.5–5 and the flow was normal to the canyon axis. By setting the canyon’s facets to have the same or different temperatures or to have a partial temperature distribution, simulations were carried out to investigate: (a) the influence of geometry on the flow and mixing within the canyon and (b) the exchange processes within the canyon and across the canyon top interface. Results showed that the vortex-type circulation and turbulence developed within the canyon produced a temperature distribution that was, essentially, spatially uniform (apart from a relatively thin near-wall thermal boundary layer) This allowed the temperatures within the street canyon to be specified by just one value T can , the canyon temperature. The variation of T can with wind speed, surface temperatures and geometry was extensively studied. Finally, the exchange velocity u E across the interface between the canyon and the flow above was calculated based on a heat flux balance within the canyon and between the canyon and the flow above. Results showed that u E was approximately 1% of a characteristic wind velocity above the street canyon. The problem of radiative exchange is not addressed but it can, of course, be introduced analytically, or computationally, when necessary.  相似文献   
90.
为了改进肿瘤的微波热疗,我们进行915MHz微波亚铁磁共振的实验研究。结果表明915MHz微波象2450MHz一样,有明显而尖锐的亚铁共振升温。实验测量了不同聚集状态,不同饱和磁化强度亚铁磁共振介质的共振升温并用鸡蛋清受热固化来显示共振升温度分布的影响。  相似文献   
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